unprecedented sequence

What is clear, the scientists say, is that the floods in Pakistan – and the fires in Russia, the mudslides in China, the droughts in sub-Saharan Africa – are enunciations of scenarios climate forecasters have long predicted.

The “unprecedented sequence of extreme weather” over the past month matches climate projections, says the WMO. This is what global warming looks like, say climate experts at NASA. For years the warnings have been laid out in the scientific journals and in sober economic analyses. Global warming would super-saturate monsoons, extend droughts, breathe fury into wildfires and frenzy into hurricanes and cyclones.

Climate change raises fundamental questions of human security, survival and the stability of nation states, security expert Professor Alan Dupont argues. It will contribute to destabilising, unregulated population movements through Asia and the Pacific – mostly within borders, but the ripple effects will spill beyond them.

Sydney Morning Herald, 21 Aug 2010