hardest hit – south-east Asia

Australia’s top intelligence agency believes south-east Asia will be the region worst affected by climate change by 2030, with decreased water flows from the Himalayan glaciers triggering a ”cascade of economic, social and political consequences” The dire outlook was provided by the deputy director of the Office of National Assessments, Heather Smith, in a confidential discussion on the national security implications of climate change with US embassy officials.
Sydney Morning Herald 16 Dec 2010

oceans less salty

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The salt content of the ocean is on the decline, a sign of potentially worrisome consequences that scientists can’t accurately predict. Since the late 1960s, much of the North Atlantic Ocean has become less salty, in part due to increases in fresh water runoff induced by global warming, scientists say.
Live Science, 29 Jun 2005

oceans more salty

Global warming is making the sea more salty, according to new research that demonstrates the massive shifts in natural systems triggered by climate change.

Experts at the UK Met Office and Reading University say warmer temperatures over the Atlantic Ocean have significantly increased evaporation and reduced rainfall across a giant stretch of water from Africa to the Carribean in recent years. The change concentrates salt in the water left behind.
The Guardian, 27 Oct 2008
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global warming causes decline in trade winds

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The vast looping system of air currents that fuels Pacific trade winds and climate from South America to South-East Asia may be another victim of climate change, according to scientists. The system has weakened by 3.5 per cent over the past 140 years and the culprit is probably human-induced climate change, scientists report in today’s issue of the journal Nature.
ABC (Australia) News 5 May 2006 “Global warming weakens air currents”

trade winds cause decline in global warming

Stronger than normal trade winds in the central Pacific are the main cause of a 13-year halt in global surface temperatures increases, an Australian study reveals.The authors reject the study gives impetus to climate change deniers and instead suggest that when the winds ease, global warming will accelerate rapidly.
ABC Science (Australia) 10 Feb 2014 “Warming slowdown caused by Pacific winds”
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taxpayers beware

Scientists wanting to discourage people from making unnecessary trips to the airport to cut greenhouse gases were yesterday awarded £500,000 of taxpayers’ money.

Dr Tim Ryley, of Loughborough University, who will carry out the study alongside researchers at Cranfield and Leeds universities, said: ‘ Travelling to airports has a big impact on carbon emissions, but no one has yet identified how to reduce it. This study will address that gap in our understanding.’
Daily Mail, UK, 23 Jan 2010

see also – Say what?

danger to dogs!

Global warming has been blamed for everything from an increase in hurricanes to rising sea levels and polar glacial activity. Could it also be affecting the health and well-being of your dog?

The calamity of canine heartworm disease continues to prove deadly to dogs across the United States. What might be worse is that the warming of our planet may be contributing to the spread of this disease.
insidebayarea.com/animals 16 Mar 2009

what could be clearer?

Meanwhile an 84-year-old betting contest held annually on a frozen Alaskan river is providing the latest evidence of a global thaw. The Nenana Ice Classic has been held since 1917 on the Tenana River.

Contestants bet for a jackpot, that this year hit $300,000, on the exact moment when a wooden tripod erected on the frozen river falls through the breaking ice each spring. When they checked the records they found that the breakthrough occurs today an average of five days earlier than at the start of the contest.
indiaresource.org 15 Mar 2002

Coffee time!

The temperature is rising a little too quickly in Uganda — and coffee farmers are getting worried. Growers say that global warming is damaging production of coffee, Uganda’s biggest export.

“Everyone is talking about global warming; coffee is our business,” says Mariam Sekisanda, 27, as she pauses from picking ripe coffee beans on her expansive farm to sit under the shade of a thicket of lush banana trees.
TerraDaily 8 Feb 2008

1 foot, (0.3 metres)

“A predicted rise in sea level of one foot within the next 30 to 40 years will drive much of the Atlantic and Gulf shoreline inward by 100 feet and some of it by more than 1,000 feet, according to marine geologists.”
Erik Eckholm, “The Rising Seas Problems will Seep Far Inland,” Chicago Tribune, March 16, 1986

82 feet (25 metres)

“The last time the world was three degrees warmer than today – which is what we expect later this century – sea levels were 25m higher. So that is what we can look forward to if we don’t act soon. None of the current climate and ice models predict this. But I prefer the evidence from the Earth’s history and my own eyes. I think sea-level rise is going to be the big issue soon, more even than warming itself.”
Jim Hansen, “Climate change: On the edge” The Independent, 17th February, 2006

21 feet, 6.4 metres

The implications of the research are dramatic given Greenland holds enough ice to raise global sea levels by up to 21ft, a disaster scenario that would result in the flooding of some of the world’s major population centres, including all of Britain’s city ports.

The latest study, presented at the American Association for the Advancement of Science, in St Louis, shows that rather than just melting relatively slowly, the ice sheet is showing all the signs of a mechanical break-up as glaciers slip ever faster into the ocean, aided by the “lubricant” of melt water forming at their base.
The Independent (UK), 17 Feb 2006

13 feet (4 metres)

Many of the world’s major cities, including Bangkok, London, Miami and New York, could be flooded by the end of the century, according to a new analysis of current temperatures in the Arctic region published in the journal Science.

By then, global temperatures will be an average of three degrees C. higher than now — or about as hot as it was nearly 130,000 years ago, when ocean levels were four to six metres higher.

“Probably our estimates of sea-level rise even five years ago were too small, too conservative,” Jonathan Overpeck, a University of Arizona researcher who helped lead the study, was reported as saying.
www.countercurrents.org, 6 Apr 2006

Antarctica gaining weight

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The eastern half of Antarctica is gaining weight, more than 45 billion tons a year as snow and ice pile up, according to a new scientific study. ”It’s been long predicted by climate models,” said Dr. Curt H. Davis, a professor of electrical and computer engineering at the University of Missouri and the lead author of a paper that was published on the Web site of the journal Science yesterday. ”This is the first observational evidence.”
New York Times, 20 May 2005

Antarctica losing weight

From 2010 to 2013, West Antarctica, East Antarctica and the Antarctic Peninsula lost 134 billion, 3 billion and 23 billion tonnes of ice each year respectively. Dr Malcolm Macmillan from Leeds University, who was the lead author of the study, said the area has long been identified as the most vulnerable to changes in climate and assessments suggest its glaciers may have passed a point of irreversible retreat.
The Independent (UK) 19 May 2014
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winds decrease

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Windmills, one of the Netherlands’ trademarks, may go idle because of less wind as a result of climate change, Dutch scientists predict. “It’s too late now to avoid the temperature rise. It’s unchangeable,” a spokesman for the Royal Netherlands Meteorological Institute said. “But if we are doing our very best, by reducing CO2 levels by 60 to 80 percent between now and 2050, we can avoid a temperature rise higher than 1-2 degrees (Celsius).”
Counter Currents 27 Oct 2005

winds increase

As a result of stronger winds caused by global warming, seeds and pollen are being carried over longer distances across Germany. An increase in temperature of only a couple of degrees may increase the dispersal of plants in Northern forests and the spread of plant species into forest clearings after felling or forest fires. University of Helsinki researcher Anna Kuparinen headed the international research into the impact of global warming on seed and pollen dispersal.
www.alphagalileo.org/, 11 Jun 2009
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2029

Tim Flannery, the well-known Australian environmentalist, was on CBC Radio the other day to issue more alarms about global warming. “It’s now or never,” he said. “We have about 20 years to address climate change or else our entire future is in jeopardy.” He painted an apocalyptic picture of drought, flooding, famine and war.
The Globe and Mail, Oct. 14 2009.

2104

Professor Peter Barrett, Director of Victoria, NZ University’s Antarctic Research Centre, repeated his published warning that extinction of humankind and human society as we know it may come about within 100 years because of impending climate change and ecological catastrophe – unless humankind can dramatically reduce greenhouse gas emissions.
live radio interview on December 20, 2004

1995

“[By] 1995, the greenhouse effect would be desolating the heartlands of North America and Eurasia with horrific drought, causing crop failures and food riots…[By 1996] The Platte River of Nebraska would be dry, while a continent-wide black blizzard of prairie topsoil will stop traffic on interstates, strip paint from houses and shut down computers.”
Michael Oppenheimer, published in “Dead Heat,” St. Martin’s Press, 1990

2021

The Climate Commission report says the world has at best 10 years to cut carbon emissions or it will face dangerous atmospheric warming and sea level rises. Professor Steffen also called today for an end to “fruitless, phoney” debate, saying climate change denial is a luxury the world can no longer afford.
The Australian, 23 May 2011

2015

“We have 500 days – not a day more – to avoid a climate disaster. We must face up to climate disruption, climate chaos. The scientists, several of whom are present here, have said it: ‘you’d have to be blind not to see it’” M. Laurent Fabius, Minister of Foreign Affairs and International Development, 14 May 2014 about France hosting the major climate conference in December 2015.
ambafrance-us.org

2026

“The world only has 10 years to develop and implement new technologies to generate clean electricity before climate change reaches a point of no return,….” “The rate at which we are emitting now, around 2ppm a year and rising, we could expect that that tripping point will reach us in 20 years’ time. That gives us 10 years to develop technologies that could start to bite into the problem.”
Peter Smith, a professor of sustainable energy at the University of Nottingham, theguardian.com, 5 September 2006

1999

On July 5, 1989, Noel Brown, then the director of the New York office of the United Nations Environment Program, warned of a “10-year window of opportunity to solve” global warming — “entire nations could be wiped off the face of Earth by rising sea levels if the global-warming trend is not reversed by the year 2000. Coastal flooding and crop failures would create an exodus of ‘eco-refugees,’ threatening political chaos.”
as reported in The Washington Times, 21 Apr 2014

2017

The Prince of Wales is to issue a stark warning that nations have “less than 100 months to act” to save the planet from irreversible damage due to climate change. His warning will be delivered on Thursday in a keynote speech in Rio de Janeiro. In Thursday’s speech, the Prince will warn that a failure to act in the next eight years will have catastrophic effects for the planet.
www.telegraph.co.uk, 07 Mar 2009

2014

The planet has just five years to avoid disastrous global warming, says the Federal Government’s chief scientist. Prof Penny Sackett yesterday urged all Australians to reduce their carbon footprint. Australians – among the world’s biggest producers of carbon dioxide – were “better placed than others to do something about it”, she said.

The professor said even if all the world stopped producing carbon dioxide immediately, temperature increases of 1.3C were unavoidable. If the earth’s temperature rose 2C, she warned, there would be risks that were “difficult and dangerous”.
Herald Sun, December 04, 2009

2054

The next 50 years offer Sydney the last chance to avoid catastrophic climate change that would devastate south-eastern Australia, the scientist Tim Flannery has warned. Speaking last night at the State Government’s Sydney Futures forum, Dr Flannery warned of a city grappling with up to 60 per cent less water. As temperatures around the world warmed by 2 to 7 per cent Sydney could glimpse its future by looking at the devastating impact that global warming had already had on Perth, which he said was likely to become a “ghost metropolis”.
Sydney Morning Herald 19 May 2004

2022

The United States and the European Union agree that the next 15 years will be decisive in averting a global warming disaster but disagree on a strategy, German Foreign Minister Frank-Walter Steinmeier said Sunday. He said Washington and Europe concurred that “politicians have at most another 15 years to take steps to ensure that climate change does not become a catastrophe.”
www.terradaily.com, 3 Jun 2007

2050

The report said global emissions must peak by 2015 for the world to have any chance of limiting the expected temperature rise to 2C, which would still leave billions of people short of water by 2050.
The warning came in a report from the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) published yesterday in Bangkok.

www.theguardian.com, 5 May 2007

2010

Srgjan Kerim, President of the General Assembly, opened the discussion by saying that 11 of the last 12 years had ranked among the 12 warmest since the keeping of global temperature records had begun in 1850. Two points were significant: that climate change was inherently a sustainable-development challenge; and that more efforts than ever before must be exerted to enable poor countries to prepare for impacts because it had been estimated that there would be between 50 million and 200 million environmental migrants by 2010.
UN Press release, 8 Jul 2008

2015

Mark Lynas draws on the latest science to describe the world under warming scenarios ranging from 1° (bad) to 6°C (unimaginably bad). He sums up the task with brutal candour: “we have only seven years left to peak global emissions before facing escalating dangers of runaway global warming.”
review of Recent Books about Climate Change, By Clive Hamilton, http://www.themonthly.com.au October 2008

invasion – Stingray

A stingray that kills its prey with a giant electric shock has been found off the coast of Britain, it emerged today. Now experts fear shoals of marbled stingray – a relative of the fish that killed Australian crocodile hunter Steve Irwin – will invade Britain this summer due to global warming.
www.mailonsunday.co.uk, 19 Jun 2008

invasion – Floating pennywort, American mink and the Chinese mitten crab

Hundreds of native British animals and plants are being put at risk from an invasion of foreign species that thrive here because of rising global temperatures, the Government said yesterday. The problem is expected to become worse as warmer temperatures encourage the migration of hostile species, which include floating pennywort, American mink and the Chinese mitten crab.
www.telegraph.co.uk/, 28 May 2008

invasion – The non-native sea squirt

While the jellyfish invasion has helped decimate the winter flounder population in Narragansett Bay, the non-native sea squirt may overrun the local oyster and blue mussel communities. ”There is evidence of jellyfish explosions around the world that appear related to the adverse impact of human activities, and those include global warming,” said a representative of the New York City-based Natural Resources Defence Council.
The Boston Globe, 2/7/02.

invasion – Slugs

Britain’s gardens have been invaded by record numbers of slugs because the wet weather has helped them double their population. Dr Richard Meredith of Bayer Crop Science, has been monitoring slug numbers for years. Normally, frosty winters and dry summers keep the slug population down. But global warming has helped provide perfect conditions for them to thrive.
www.telegraph.co.uk, 22 Aug 2007

invasion – Cats and kittens

Droves of cats and kittens are swarming into animal shelters nationwide, and global warming is to blame, according to one pet adoption group, Pets Across America. The cause of this feline flood is an extended cat breeding season thanks to the world’s warming temperatures, according to the group.
www.livescience.com, 6 Jun 2007

invasion -Asian tiger mosquito

Experts working for the Department for Environment, Food and Rural Affairs (Defra) have identified 9 alien species on the verge of invading Britain. The experts are most concerned about is the Asian tiger mosquito which is larger than most – up to 1cm long – and bites in the day, rather than just in the evening.
www.telegraph.co.uk/earth/environment/climatechange/, 7 Jun 2009

invasion – The Humboldt squid

The Humboldt squid, which can grow up to 7 feet long, has moved up the California coast as ocean waters warmed. “It’s the latest in a long series of bad news for fishermen,” said a Stanford University researcher, adding that squid have been found as far north as Alaska in the past five years.
www.ktvu.com, 5 Dec 2007

invasion – Giant oysters

Giant oyster specimens have been found on Germany’s North Sea island of Sylt. Marine biologists are unanimous in their explanation for the causes of the Pacific oyster invasion.

“Cold winters can bring the spread of wild oysters to a halt, but warm winters enable the oyster larvae to flourish,” said a marine biologist with Sylt’s Alfred-Wegener Polar and Marine Research Institute. “Their increase is a direct result of global warming.”
www.independent.co.uk, 8 Mar 2008

invasion – Beetles

Aided by warmer weather and the easy pickings of drought-stricken trees, beetles are ravaging Yellowstone’s pines. “Climate change is going to be the most significant challenge to the fundamental premise and foundational management of our national parks that we have ever faced,” said the newly installed park service Director.
L.A.Times, 6 Dec 2009

invasion – Sharks, crabs and other predators

Unique marine life in Antarctica will be at risk from an invasion of sharks, crabs and other predators if global warming continues, scientists warn. Crabs are poised to return to the Antarctic shallows, threatening creatures such as giant sea spiders and floppy ribbon worms, says a UK-US team. Shrimp, ribbon worms and brittle stars are likely to be the most vulnerable to population declines.
news.bbc.co.uk, 16 Feb 2008

invasion – Fungi

Six species of fungi have been found in Scotland for the first time, providing yet more evidence of the general warming of the British climate. The former head of mycology at the Royal Botanic Garden, Edinburgh said, “Changes in our climate are allowing some fungi to possibly jump hosts, and these more parasitic fungi could pose quite serious implications for species that have always existed up here and not been under attack.”
www.scotsman.com, 20 Oct 2004

invasion – Cougars

Climate change could be causing cougar attacks: Alberta’s cougar population has jumped this year because recent warm winters have pushed up the population of deer, elk and moose — the cougars’ natural prey, said Darcy Whiteside with Alberta Sustainable Resource Development.
www.canada.com/nationalpost/news 29 Aug 2007

invasion – Invasive plants


Higher average temperatures and changes in rain and snow patterns will enable some invasive plant species to move into new areas. Insect pest infestations will be more severe as pests such as mountain pine beetle are able to take advantage of drought-weakened plants. Pathogens and their hosts that thrive in higher temperatures will spread to new areas.

National Wildlife Federation website, 2014

invasion – Dragonfly

The damselfly, a flying matchstick of bright blue and black, is the latest of a number of new arrivals from Europe which are thought to have been brought to Britain by rising temperatures caused by climate change, according to The British Dragonfly Society.
www.independent.co.uk, 22 July 2010

invasion – Airport malaria

Global warming is raising the risk for infection with so-called “airport malaria” in malaria-free zones of the United States and Europe, researchers warn.
Here’s how it happens, as the scientists explain it: Mosquitoes make their way on to planes in tropical regions, and at the end of a flight can escape into the increasingly warmer climates of developed countries, where they now have a better chance of surviving and proliferating said the study author and program director of environmental and occupational health at Louisiana State University in New Orleans.

health.usnews.com, 12 Dec 2008